Best Plays are not simply the five runners with the shortest odds.

The model independently assesses every active runner using recent finishing form, career win and placing strike rates, previous performance at the race distance and track, barrier position relative to the field, and allocated weight.

These factors produce the model's own estimated winning probability. That estimate is then combined with the winning probability implied by the Betfair market. The market contributes 75% of the final estimate and the form model contributes 25%, allowing the selections to reflect both current market information and each runner's actual racing profile.

The strongest qualifying runner from each race is identified first. Those runners are then compared across all Australian meetings, and the five with the highest final estimated winning probabilities become the day's Best Plays.

Because market confidence is an important part of the calculation, some Best Plays will naturally be favourites or have shorter odds. However, a runner is not selected purely because it has the shortest price.

Prime Plays use the same estimated winning probabilities as Best Plays but only consider runners whose captured Betfair win odds are $2.00 or higher.

The strongest qualifying runner from each race is identified, then the five runners with the highest estimated winning probabilities are selected from that group.

Prime Plays provide a separate group of selections offering larger potential returns while still prioritising the runners the model considers most likely to win. They are recorded in their own tracker and do not affect the Best Plays results.

The Multi combines two or three of the strongest Best Plays when enough qualifying selections are available.

The displayed combined win odds are calculated by multiplying the captured odds for each leg. The estimated multi probability is calculated from the individual estimated winning probabilities of every included runner.

Because every leg must win, the estimated probability of the Multi will always be lower than the probability of any individual selection. The confidence rating reflects the estimated chance of the complete Multi winning, not the confidence of each separate leg.

All selections are permanently recorded from the morning snapshot. Results, strike rates, placings and units are updated in the separate transparent trackers.

Units are calculated using a flat one-unit win bet on every completed selection. A winner returns the captured win odds, while a losing selection loses one unit. Scratched or void selections are excluded.

Members can use the date selector to review previous days and confirm every published result. Racing always carries risk, and no selection or Multi is guaranteed.